CFB Betting Edge

2026 · Week 8 · SEC · the model's read vs the market — informational, not an ATS edge

All SEC Big Ten Big 12 ACC Pac-12 American Athletic Mountain West Sun Belt Mid-American Conference USA FBS Independents

Season2026 2025 2024

Week1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15

Full Slate — SEC · Week 8 · 6 games

LSU @ AuburnAuburn 67%

Model

Auburn -6.4 · mkt Auburn —

proj LSU 25.0 · Auburn 31.4

Total

proj 56.4

Texas A&M @ AlabamaAlabama 54%

Model

Alabama -1.3 · mkt Alabama —

proj Texas A&M 25.3 · Alabama 26.6

Total

proj 51.8

Ole Miss @ TexasTexas 52%

Model

Texas -0.9 · mkt Texas —

proj Ole Miss 26.3 · Texas 27.1

Total

proj 53.4

Tennessee @ South CarolinaTennessee 65%

Model

Tennessee -5.5 · mkt Tennessee —

proj Tennessee 28.9 · South Carolina 23.4

Total

proj 52.2

Vanderbilt @ KentuckyVanderbilt 67%

Model

Vanderbilt -6.4 · mkt Vanderbilt —

proj Vanderbilt 29.0 · Kentucky 22.6

Total

proj 51.7

Oklahoma @ Mississippi StateOklahoma 74%

Model

Oklahoma -9.2 · mkt Oklahoma —

proj Oklahoma 31.8 · Mississippi State 22.6

Total

proj 54.4

The model beats SP+ but not the closing line (ATS ≈ break-even). “Model−Mkt” is the gap between our projected home margin and the market's implied margin — a read on disagreement, not a profitable edge. Upcoming games have no closing line yet, so the market number marked ~ is the consensus midpoint of the best posted spreads across books.