CFB Betting Edge
2026 · Week 2 · Pac-12 · the model's read vs the market — informational, not an ATS edge
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Full Slate — Pac-12 · Week 2 · 7 games
Utah State @ WashingtonWashington 94%
Model
Washington -22.3 · mkt Washington —
proj Utah State 18.1 · Washington 40.3
Total
proj 58.4
Sacramento State @ Fresno StateFresno State 94%
Model
Fresno State -21.9 · mkt Fresno State —
proj Sacramento State 17.5 · Fresno State 39.4
Total
proj 56.8
Washington State @ Kansas StateKansas State 75%
Model
Kansas State -9.4 · mkt Kansas State —
proj Washington State 21.2 · Kansas State 30.6
Total
proj 51.7
Memphis @ Boise StateBoise State 59%
Model
Boise State -3.1 · mkt Boise State —
proj Memphis 25.9 · Boise State 29.0
Total
proj 54.9
UTSA @ Texas StateTexas State 54%
Model
Texas State -1.5 · mkt Texas State —
proj UTSA 28.2 · Texas State 29.7
Total
proj 57.8
San Diego State @ UCLASan Diego State 65%
Model
San Diego State -5.3 · mkt San Diego State —
proj San Diego State 30.1 · UCLA 24.8
Total
proj 55.0
Texas Tech @ Oregon StateTexas Tech 92%
Model
Texas Tech -19.9 · mkt Texas Tech —
proj Texas Tech 31.3 · Oregon State 11.4
Total
proj 42.7
The model beats SP+ but not the closing line (ATS ≈ break-even). “Model−Mkt” is the gap between our projected home margin and the market's implied margin — a read on disagreement, not a profitable edge. Upcoming games have no closing line yet, so the market number marked ~ is the consensus midpoint of the best posted spreads across books.