CFB Betting Edge
2026 · Week 2 · ACC · the model's read vs the market — informational, not an ATS edge
AllSECBig TenBig 12ACCPac-12American AthleticMountain WestSun BeltMid-AmericanConference USAFBS Independents
Full Slate — ACC · Week 2 · 8 games
Georgia Southern @ ClemsonClemson 95%
Model
Clemson -23.8 · mkt Clemson —
proj Georgia Southern 15.4 · Clemson 39.2
Total
proj 54.5
UCF @ PittsburghPittsburgh 76%
Model
Pittsburgh -10.3 · mkt Pittsburgh —
proj UCF 23.6 · Pittsburgh 33.9
Total
proj 57.5
Duke @ IllinoisIllinois 73%
Model
Illinois -8.7 · mkt Illinois —
proj Duke 22.8 · Illinois 31.5
Total
proj 54.3
Wake Forest @ PurduePurdue 51%
Model
Purdue -0.3 · mkt Purdue —
proj Wake Forest 27.9 · Purdue 28.3
Total
proj 56.2
California @ SyracuseCalifornia 50%
Model
California -0.1 · mkt California —
proj California 28.0 · Syracuse 27.9
Total
proj 55.9
Old Dominion @ Virginia TechOld Dominion 55%
Model
Old Dominion -1.9 · mkt Old Dominion —
proj Old Dominion 29.8 · Virginia Tech 28.0
Total
proj 57.8
Rutgers @ Boston CollegeRutgers 61%
Model
Rutgers -3.9 · mkt Rutgers —
proj Rutgers 30.2 · Boston College 26.3
Total
proj 56.5
Tennessee @ Georgia TechTennessee 68%
Model
Tennessee -6.5 · mkt Tennessee —
proj Tennessee 33.1 · Georgia Tech 26.7
Total
proj 59.8
The model beats SP+ but not the closing line (ATS ≈ break-even). “Model−Mkt” is the gap between our projected home margin and the market's implied margin — a read on disagreement, not a profitable edge. Upcoming games have no closing line yet, so the market number marked ~ is the consensus midpoint of the best posted spreads across books.